Mackinac Center scholars have analyzed the differences between right-to-work and non-right-to-work states on several occasions.[*] The most recent data suggests that right-to-work states perform better than non-right-to-work states on several different metrics. For instance, James Hohman, the Mackinac Center’s assistant director of fiscal policy, has found:[†]
- According to the Bureau of Economic Analysis, right-to-work states showed a 42.6 percent gain in total employment from 1990 to 2011, while non-right-to-work states showed gains of only 18.8 percent.
- According to the U.S. Census Bureau, population increased in right-to-work states by 39.8 percent and only 16.7 percent in non-right-to-work states from 1990 to 2011.
- According to the U.S. Census Bureau, 4.9 million people moved from non-right-to-work states to right-to-work states from 2000 to 2009.[‡]
- According to the Bureau of Economic Analysis, nominal personal income grew by 209.3 percent in right-to-work states and by 148.5 percent in non-right-to-work states from 1990 to 2011.
A large body of empirical research has been performed regarding the effects of union membership changes, union organizing and right-to-work laws. Work by such scholars as William Dickens and Jonathan Leonard, Richard Freeman, Henry Farber, Edward Lazear, Melvin Reder, and Paul Jarley and Jack Fiorito offer a fairly clear conclusion that right-to-work legislation reduces measures of private-sector unionization and union-related activities such as organizing.
Much of this work is described by Moore (referenced above) in a study titled “The Determinants and Effects of Right-to-Work Laws: A Review of the Recent Literature.”[§] In this review, Moore zeros in on research designed to explain the impact of right-to-work laws. He describes the literature, examines methodologies and notes the findings on the impact of right-to-work laws on unionization, wages, economic development and other issues. Moore found both anecdotal and empirical evidence that right-to-work laws have a positive effect on state economic development, though not universally.[¶]
Newman (referenced above) tested the effect of right-to-work laws on the economic growth in manufacturing industries in southern states in roughly the two decades following the Taft-Hartley Act. The study, which controlled for taxation and unionization rates, found that right-to-work laws were a significant contributor to growth, and that this effect was more pronounced in labor-intensive industries.
A 1998 study by Holmes (referenced above) measured the effect right-to-work laws had on firm location decisions at the county level. This study attempted to isolate the effect of right-to-work laws by controlling for other policies that may have impacted firm location decision, such as business tax rates and geographical setting. It found as large as a 33 percent increase in manufacturing employment in border counties in right-to-work states.[**]
The most recent research on the impact of right-to-work laws is more mixed. A 2009 study by Lonnie K. Stevans — which carefully attempted to control for endogeneity — analyzed state data from 1990, 1995, and 2000 through 2005. He found that there were no wage or employment effects of right-to-work laws.
In 2011, however, Richard Vedder, Matthew Denhart and Jonathan Robe studied the impact of right-to-work using a model that analyzed the lower 48 states from 1977 through 2008. They found that right-to-work laws increased economic growth rates by 11.5 percent.
In 2012, this co-author (Hicks) estimated the impact of right-to-work on manufacturing employment, manufacturing incomes and the share of manufacturing income in states from 1929 through 2005. This study examined the actual effect of right-to-work laws using an identification strategy which isolated southern states and 1947 manufacturing employment to account for political factors which may have contributed to the passage of right-to-work. This analysis found no impacts on aggregate manufacturing employment, manufacturing incomes or the share of manufacturing income. However, right-to-work laws produced a statistically meaningful contribution to manufacturing income growth in the majority of states which had adopted the legislation since 1950.
[*] The Mackinac Center for Public Policy first published on this subject in 1992. George Leef, "Protecting the Political Freedom of Workers," (Mackinac Center for Public Policy, 1992), https://www.mackinac.org/183 (accessed Aug. 20, 2013). Since then, it has produced hundreds of articles, studies, blog posts, press releases and videos on the topic. A keyword search for “right-to-work” on its Web site generates 781 matches.
[†] These statistics are based on the latest available data at the time of this writing. Oklahoma, which became a right-to-work state in 2001, was not included in the analyses.
[‡] For more information, see: Michael LaFaive, "Right-to-Work Laws Influence Migration," (Mackinac Center for Public Policy, 2012), http://goo.gl/xxIA4 (accessed July 30, 2013).
[§] William J. Moore, "The Determinants and Effects of Right-to-Work Laws: A Review of the Recent Literature," Journal of Labor Research 19, no. 3 (1998). This was Moore’s second literature review of the effects of right-to-work laws. His first was published in in 1985 with co-author Robert Newman. William J. Moore and Robert J. Newman, "The Effects of Right-to-Work Laws: A Review of the Literature," Industrial and Labor Relations Review 38, no. 4 (1985).
[¶] As mentioned above, Moore effectively dismissed results that did not find a significant positive effect, because they examined short time frames.
[**] Thomas J. Holmes, "The Effect of State Policies on the Location of Manufacturing: Evidence from State Borders," Journal of Political Economy 106, no. 4 (1998): 668. This large increase in manufacturing employment was only evident in counties that had no geographical complications and exhibited policies that could be considered “business-friendly.”