The model assumes that, under the current system, the number of students in the
government school systemnow approximately 1.6 millionwill grow slowly. The
charter school portion of this number grows more rapidly, but starting at a small base of
roughly 15,000 students, it does not represent a substantial portion of the overall
enrollment. The model projects that alternative school students will number approximately
220,000 in 1998. Under the current system, the model assumes that alternative school
enrollment grows somewhat faster than traditional public school enrollment.