From the White House on the heels of the Wagner Act came a
thunderous barrage of insults against business. Businessmen, Roosevelt fumed,
were obstacles on the road to recovery. He blasted them as "economic royalists"
and said that businessmen as a class were "stupid."[36] He followed up the
insults with a rash of new punitive measures. New strictures on the stock market
were imposed. A tax on corporate retained earnings, called the "undistributed
profits tax," was levied. "These soak-the-rich efforts," writes economist Robert
Higgs, "left little doubt that the president and his administration intended to
push through Congress everything they could to extract wealth from the
high-income earners responsible for making the bulk of the nation’s decisions
about private investment."[37]
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| |  (Click to enlarge) |
| | At the nadir of the Great Depression, half of American industrial production was idle as the economy reeled under the weight of endless and destructive policies from both Republicans and Democrats in Washington.
Library of Congress |
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During a period of barely two months during late 1937, the
market for steel — a key economic barometer — plummeted from 83 percent of
capacity to 35 percent. When that news emblazoned headlines, Roosevelt took an
ill-timed nine-day fishing trip. The New York Herald-Tribune implored him
to get back to work to stem the tide of the renewed Depression. What was needed,
said the newspaper’s editors, was a reversal of the Roosevelt policy "of
bitterness and hate, of setting class against class and punishing all who
disagreed with him."[38]
Columnist Walter Lippmann wrote in March 1938 that "with
almost no important exception every measure he [Roosevelt] has been interested
in for the past five months has been to reduce or discourage the production of
wealth."[39]
As pointed out earlier in this essay, Herbert Hoover’s own
version of a "New Deal" had hiked the top marginal income tax rate from 24 to 63
percent in 1932. But he was a piker compared to his tax-happy successor. Under
Roosevelt, the top rate was raised at first to 79 percent and then later to 90
percent. Economic historian Burton Folsom notes that in 1941 Roosevelt even
proposed a whopping 99.5-percent marginal rate on all incomes over $100,000.
"Why not?" he said when an advisor questioned the idea.[40]
After that confiscatory proposal failed, Roosevelt issued
an executive order to tax all income over $25,000 at the astonishing rate of 100
percent. He also promoted the lowering of the personal exemption to only $600, a
tactic that pushed most American families into paying at least some income tax
for the first time. Shortly thereafter, Congress rescinded the executive order,
but went along with the reduction of the personal exemption.[41]
Meanwhile, the Federal Reserve again seesawed its monetary
policy in the mid-‘30s, first up then down, then up sharply through America’s
entry into World War II. Contributing to the economic slide of 1937 was this
fact: From the summer of 1936 to the spring of 1937, the Fed doubled reserve
requirements on the nation’s banks. Experience has shown time and again that a
roller-coaster monetary policy is enough by itself to produce a roller-coaster
economy.
Still stinging from his earlier Supreme Court defeats,
Roosevelt tried in 1937 to "pack" the Supreme Court with a proposal to allow the
president to appoint an additional justice to the Court for every sitting
justice who had reached the age of 70 and did not retire. Had this proposal
passed, Roosevelt could have appointed six new justices favorable to his views,
increasing the members of the Court from 9 to 15. His plan failed in Congress,
but the Court later began rubber-stamping his policies after a number of
opposing justices retired. Until Congress killed the packing scheme, however,
business fears that a Court sympathetic to Roosevelt’s goals would endorse more
of the old New Deal prevented investment and confidence from reviving.
Economic historian Robert Higgs draws a close connection
between the level of private investment and the course of the American economy
in the 1930s. The relentless assaults of the Roosevelt administration — in both
word and deed — against business, property, and free enterprise guaranteed that
the capital needed to jump-start the economy was either taxed away or forced
into hiding. When FDR took America to war in 1941, he eased up on his
anti-business agenda, but a great deal of the nation’s capital was diverted into
the war effort instead of into plant expansion or consumer goods. Not until both
Roosevelt and the war were gone did investors feel confident enough to "set in
motion the postwar investment boom that powered the economy’s return to
sustained prosperity."[42]
This view gains support in these comments from one of the
country’s leading investors of the time, Lammot du Pont, offered in 1937:
Uncertainty rules the tax situation, the labor
situation, the monetary situation, and practically every legal condition under
which industry must operate. Are taxes to go higher, lower or stay where they
are? We don’t know. Is labor to be union or non-union? . . . Are we to have
inflation or deflation, more government spending or less? . . . Are new
restrictions to be placed on capital, new limits on profits? . . . It is
impossible to even guess at the answers."[43]
Many modern historians tend to be reflexively
anti-capitalist and distrustful of free markets; they find Roosevelt’s exercise
of power, constitutional or not, to be impressive and historically
"interesting." In surveys, a majority consistently rank FDR near the top of the
list for presidential greatness, so it is likely they would disdain the notion
that the New Deal was responsible for prolonging the Great Depression. But when
a nationally representative poll by the American Institute of Public Opinion in
the spring of 1939 asked, "Do you think the attitude of the Roosevelt
administration toward business is delaying business recovery?" the American
people responded "yes" by a margin of more than two-to-one. The business
community felt even more strongly so.[44]
In his private diary, FDR’s very own Treasury Secretary,
Henry Morgenthau, seemed to agree. He wrote: "We have tried spending money. We
are spending more than we have ever spent before and it does not work. . . . We
have never made good on our promises. . . . I say after eight years of this
Administration we have just as much unemployment as when we started . . . . and
an enormous debt to boot!"[45]
At the end of the decade and 12 years after the stock
market crash of Black Thursday, 10 million Americans were jobless. The
unemployment rate was in excess of 17 percent. Roosevelt had pledged in 1932 to
end the crisis, but it persisted two presidential terms and countless
interventions later.